Who is Dan Gordon? What is his record?
For some background information on Dan's extensive history as a professional
handicapper, as well as his 10-year record, click on Dan's Bio and NFL/NBA
Record at the left.
When will the first selections be made by Dan Gordon on this site?
The first selections will be made over the Labor Day Weekend (on 9/4 and 9/5). These selections will be made for the Week One NFL games, which will be played between 9/8 and 9/12. In addition, some NFL season over/under win selections will also probably be made at this time. It is also possible that some future (winning the Super Bowl, Conference, Division, etc.) selections will be posted at this time as well.
How are selections received by clients?
All NFL and NBA selections are sent out from dangordonsportpicks.com
to clients via "mass e-mail." This send out will take place
the second that Dan posts them in the NFL or NBA Picks forum. These selections
will also remain posted on the site, as well.
Let's say I have a question to ask Dan about one of his selections or
want to state my own opinion about them. How would I do that?
All clients can post in the NFL and/or NBA discussion forums. Dan will
answer any questions you have ASAP. Clients can also have (and are encouraged
to have) "discussions" amongst themselves on this part of the
site. Posts made in the two discussion forums are NOT mass e-mailed out
How are Dan's selections "graded"? How do I know if a selection
of his won or lost?
When Dan posts ANY NFL and NBA selection he also states the parameters
of it. This means he states the price that one needs to wager on the selection.
Dan also mentions with every selection how strongly he feels about it.
Dan's categories on his selections are: Small, Normal (the vast majority
of his selections), and Strong.
And in just about every case, Dan will "grade" any selection
he makes BEFORE the game begins (many sports services conveniently do
the "grading" process AFTER the game is complete). In this grading,
Dan judges, as well as possible, if the "strike point" he mentioned
was readily available for clients. If he judges that it was NOT, the game
is not graded and is not counted in the service record. If he judges that
the "strike point" was readily available, the game is graded
and counted in the service record.
Some people might be skeptical of Dan's self-grading. However, let the
record show that, in the last three full seasons of Dan's self-grading
of his NFL AND NBA selections that there were fewer than ten times where
clients of Dan felt that he had done a poor job of grading himself.
While grading selections in a way that will please all is not possible
100% of the time (the fact that different clients have different betting
line access is just one reason that this is so), Dan has shown that he
is being as fair as is possible in his self-grading.
And, in any event, if you are dissatisfied with Dan's grading of his selections,
you can certainly post in the discussion site and mention that to him.
Let's say that I become a dissatisfied client of Dan's. Can I then
request and get a refund?
Dan's policy has ALWAYS been that if a client is dissatisfied with his
service he can ask for and then receive a pro rata refund for the unused
part of the subscription. This will continue to be his policy in the 2009-2010
NFL and NBA seasons.
When are Dan's NFL and NBA selections posted?
In the NFL one should be ready to receive Dan's first selections early
on Monday morning (by about 7:30AM PT). Other selections will be posted
at various times later in the week. Team developments and line moves will
determine the times that these selections will be posted. If Dan is going
against late line moves, he could be posting NFL selections on Sunday
close to game time. In this instance, Dan alerts clients of this possibility
on Saturday night. A client should have some way of being "alerted"
by his or her computer or BlackBerry when a message (possibly a selection
from Dan that has been mass e-mailed from the site) has been received.
In the NBA, one should be ready to receive possible selections at about
1:00PM PT the day before the games are being played. NBA clients are VERY
strongly encouraged to have places to make their NBA bets that take "overnight"
action. Another time where it is most possible that Dan will make NBA
selections is around 7:30AM PT on the day of the game. One should have
one's computer/BlackBerry turned on at about those times. NBA selections
might come at other times, but the above times will be the ones at which
the significant majority of his selections will be posted.
How many NFL and NBA selections can I expect from Dan in a "normal"
There is no clear-cut answer to this question. In the NFL, Dan usually
makes between one and five selections per week. However, he does not "tie
himself down" to any particular number of selections. If his numbers
and betting models (which cover all possible situations of games) indicate
a side has a significant edge in a game, Dan will recommend it to his
clients. For the record, in his almost 30 years of betting the NFL Dan
has NEVER bet over eight games in one week and sometimes on rather
rare occasions has been known to pass the board. Unlike many touts,
Dan does not want to give his clients selections just for the purpose
of giving them "action." Dan ONLY gives out selections when
he feels that there is a significant financial edge in betting them.
In the NBA, the number of games given out in a week can vary greatly.
As in the NFL, if the game fits certain emotional parameters and HAS A
PRICE VALUE, Dan will give it out to clients. It is possible that Dan
might pass for three or four days in a row and then give out three or
four selections on the following day. As in the NFL, Dan treats handicapping/betting
the NBA as a business for himself and his clients.
Clients looking to bet NFL and NBA games just for "action" and
"the thrill of betting" should seek another sports service to
act as their betting advisor.
What are the realistic percentages that I can expect to win following
Dan's NFL and NBA selections?
Going back to the 1996 NFL season, Dan has won over 56% of the time
on his combined NFL and NBA selections. One can expect a similar winning
mark this season. In general, winning sports bettors win between 55-60%
of their point spread bets in a given season. Of course, the client also
partly determines how he will do. The more betting outlets and the more
varied numbers a client has access to, the better will be his winning
percentage in the long run.
While some feel that winning 56% of his spread bets is nothing "special,"
the mathematical fact is that a 56% winning percentage means that one
is, in the long run, getting a 7.6% plus return on a given investment.
Such a good percentage return can be found in few other financial endeavors.
One thing that Dan will NEVER mention are "LOCK GAMES" or nonsense
like games "to bet the house on" or "back up the truck
for." Anyone who has bet sports for over a month easily can see that
the difference between winning and losing can be quite small in a given
game. In addition just about any game or event has an almost infinite
number of ways that it can be "played out." Some of these scenarios
can include occurrences that were totally unforeseen BEFORE the game began
(like a key injury).
Thus while the long-term returns of following Dan's NFL and NBA selections
have been very good over the years, Dan realizes that all sorts of bad
events can happen in the short term like one game. Thus Dan stresses
conservative money management and discourages clients from betting over
two percent of their betting bankroll on any one game not matter
how "good" the game looks before it is played.
Are there any things that are forbidden to be posted on this site by
a client on the discussion pages?
Dan will be happy to have just about all rational discourse and questions
posted on the discussion pages even posts that show disagreement
with him. Unlike many touts, Dan does not consider himself any sort of
"deity" and feels that betting/handicapping sports is a continual
learning experience. And while clients are paying him money to be helped
by him and his insights, Dan certainly always sees the possibility that
a client could have an insight that Dan as well as his other clients
finds helpful and can learn from.
Three categories of posts that will not be tolerated on this site are:
1) Discussion and encouragement of any illegal activity, 2) Malicious
and unsubstantiated attacks on Dan or any of his clients, 3) Any "spam"
that gets into the site on the discussion boards.